2022 Final Oscars Predictions: The Collective Predictions in All 23 Categories (2024)

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2022 OSCARS PREDICTIONS:
ALL CATEGORIES

`UPDATED: March 24, 2022`

The latest updates:

It’s all come down to this. Ninety-four years of Oscar history have been digested and cross-examined to help yield the critical answer: Which films and performances will win Academy Awards on March 27?

All the statistics that could be broken with “CODA,” “The Power of the Dog” or “Belfast” winning the top prize include:

The eleventh film to win without a nomination for best editing.
The second film to win best picture without a DGA nomination. The first was “Driving Miss Daisy” (1989).
No film has won best picture without a nomination for directing or editing (since the two have co-existed).
It would be the third film directed by a woman to win best picture
Sixth film to win without a best director nomination: “Wings” (1927/28), “Grand Hotel” (1931/32), “Driving Miss Daisy” (1989), “Argo” (2012) and “Green Book” (2018).

By the sheer scope of its nomination tally, Netflix is the closest it’s ever been to taking home the statuette for the Academy’s most prestigious prize. Jane Campion’s “The Power of the Dog” has won the most critics’ awards for best picture, and the film has walked away with the top honor at the BAFTA and DGA ceremonies, which have Oscar-voter crossover. However, in what feels like an even divide, some Academy members told Variety they were ranking it at No. 1 on their preferential ballot, while others were putting it toward the bottom of that category.

The individual category predictions with the full rankings are on the individual pages.

Friendly reminder: all predictions on the 2022 Oscars Collective are in alphabetical order.

NOTE: All final credits are determined by the Academy and will be announced with nominations on Feb. 8.

*** = PREDICTED WINNER

Best Picture
“Belfast” (Focus Features)
Laura Berwick, Kenneth Branagh, Becca Kovacik and Tamar Thomas
“CODA” (Apple Original Films)***
Philippe Rousselet, Fabrice Gianfermi and Patrick Wachsberger
“Don’t Look Up” (Netflix)
Adam McKay and Kevin Messick
“Drive My Car” (Janus Films/Sideshow)
Teruhisa Yamamoto
“Dune” (Warner Bros)
Mary Parent, Denis Villeneuve and Cale Boyter
“King Richard” (Warner Bros)
Tim White, Trevor White and Will Smith
“Licorice Pizza” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Sara Murphy, Adam Somner and Paul Thomas Anderson
“Nightmare Alley” (Searchlight Pictures)
Guillermo del Toro, J. Miles Dale and Bradley Cooper
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Jane Campion, Tanya Seghatchian, Emile Sherman, Iain Canning and Roger Frappie
“West Side Story” (20th Century Studios)
Steven Spielberg and Kristie Macosko Krieger
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Director
Paul Thomas Anderson
“Licorice Pizza” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Kenneth Branagh
“Belfast” (Focus Features)
Jane Campion***
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Ryûsuke Hamaguchi
“Drive My Car” (Janus Films/Sideshow)
Steven Spielberg
“West Side Story” (20th Century Studios)
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Actor
Javier Bardem
“Being the Ricardos” (Amazon Studios)
Benedict Cumberbatch
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Andrew Garfield
“Tick, Tick … Boom!” (Netflix)
Will Smith***
“King Richard” (Warner Bros)
Denzel Washington
“The Tragedy of Macbeth” (Apple Original Films/A24)
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Actress
Jessica Chastain
“The Eyes of Tammy Faye” (Searchlight Pictures)
Olivia Colman
“The Lost Daughter” (Netflix)
Penélope Cruz***
“Parallel Mothers” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Nicole Kidman
“Being the Ricardos” (Amazon Studios)
Kristen Stewart
“Spencer” (Neon/Topic Studios)
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Supporting Actor
Ciarán Hinds
“Belfast” (Focus Features)
Troy Kotsur***
“CODA” (Apple Original Films)
Jesse Plemons
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
J.K. Simmons
“Being the Ricardos” (Amazon Studios)
Kodi Smit-McPhee
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Supporting Actress
Jessie Buckley
“The Lost Daughter” (Netflix)
Judi Dench
“Belfast” (Focus Features)
Ariana DeBose***
“West Side Story” (20th Century Studios)
Kirsten Dunst
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Aunjanue Ellis
“King Richard” (Warner Bros)
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Original Screenplay
“Belfast” (Focus Features)***
Kenneth Branagh
“Don’t Look Up” (Netflix)
Adam McKay, David Sirota
“Licorice Pizza” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Paul Thomas Anderson
“King Richard” (Warner Bros)
Zach Baylin
“The Worst Person in the World” (Neon)
Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Adapted Screenplay
“CODA” (Apple Original Films)***
Siân Heder
“Drive My Car” (Janus Films/Sideshow)
Ryûsuke Hamaguchi, Takamasa Oe
“Dune” (Warner Bros)
Jon Spaihts, Denis Villeneuve, Eric Roth
“The Lost Daughter” (Netflix)
Maggie Gyllenhaal
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Jane Campion
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Animated Feature
“Encanto” (Walt Disney Pictures)***
Jared Bush, Byron Howard, Yvett Merino and Clark Spencer
“Flee” (Neon)
Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Monica Hellström, Signe Byrge Sørensen and Charlotte De La Gournerie
“Luca” (Pixar)
Enrico Casarosa and Andrea Warren
“The Mitchells vs. The Machines” (Netflix)
Mike Rianda, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller and Kurt Albrecht
“Raya and the Last Dragon” (Walt Disney Pictures)
Don Hall, Carlos López Estrada, Osnat Shurer and Peter Del Vecho
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Production Design
“Dune” (Warner Bros)***
Production Design: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Zsuzsanna Sipos
“Nightmare Alley” (Searchlight Pictures)
Production Design: Tamara Deverell; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Production Design: Grant Major; Set Decoration: Amber Richards
“The Tragedy of Macbeth” (Apple Original Films/A24)
Production Design: Stefan Dechant; Set Decoration: Nancy Haigh
“West Side Story” (20th Century Studios)
Production Design: Adam Stockhausen; Set Decoration: Rena DeAngelo
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Cinematography
“Dune” (Warner Bros)***
Greig Fraser
“Nightmare Alley” (Searchlight Pictures)
Dan Laustsen
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Ari Wegner
“The Tragedy of Macbeth” (Apple Original Films/A24)
Bruno Delbonnel
“West Side Story” (20th Century Studios)
Janusz Kamiński
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Costume Design
“Cruella” (Walt Disney Pictures)***
Jenny Beavan
“Cyrano” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Massimo Cantini Parrini, Jacqueline Durran
“Dune” (Warner Bros)
Jacqueline West, Robert Morgan
“Nightmare Alley” (Searchlight Pictures)
Luis Sequeira
“West Side Story” (20th Century Studios)
Paul Tazewell
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Film Editing
“Don’t Look Up” (Netflix)
Hank Corwin
“Dune” (Warner Bros)***
Joe Walker
“King Richard” (Warner Bros)
Pamela Martin
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Peter Sciberras
“Tick, Tick … Boom!” (Netflix)
Myron Kerstein, Andrew Weisblum
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
“Coming 2 America” (Amazon Studios)
Mike Marino, Stacey Morris and Carla Farmer
“Cruella” (Walt Disney Pictures)
Nadia Stacey, Carolyn Cousins
“Dune” (Warner Bros)
Donald Mowat, Love Larson, Eva von Bahr
“The Eyes of Tammy Faye” (Searchlight Pictures)***
Linda Dowds, Stephanie Ingram, Justin Raleigh
“House of Gucci” (United Artists Releasing/MGM)
Jana Carboni, Giuliano Mariano, Göran Lundström
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Sound
“Belfast” (Focus Features)
Denise Yarde, Simon Chase, James Mather and Niv Adiri
“Dune” (Warner Bros)***
Mac Ruth, Mark Mangini, Theo Green, Doug Hemphill and Ron Bartlett
“No Time to Die” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Simon Hayes, Oliver Tarney, James Harrison, Paul Massey and Mark Taylor
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Richard Flynn, Robert Mackenzie and Tara Webb
“West Side Story” (20th Century Studios)
Tod A. Maitland, Gary Rydstrom, Brian Chumney, Andy Nelson and Shawn Murphy
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Visual Effects
“Dune” (Warner Bros)***
Paul Lambert, Tristan Myles, Brian Connor and Gerd Nefzer
“Free Guy” (20th Century Studios)
Swen Gillberg, Bryan Grill, Nikos Kalaitzidis and Dan Sudick
“No Time to Die” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Charlie Noble, Joel Green, Jonathan Fawkner and Chris Corbould
“Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings” (Marvel Studios)
Christopher Townsend, Joe Farrell, Sean Noel Walker and Dan Oliver
“Spider-Man: No Way Home” (Sony Pictures)
Kelly Port, Chris Waegner, Scott Edelstein and Dan Sudick
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Original Score
“Don’t Look Up” (Netflix)
Nicholas Britell
“Dune” (Warner Bros)***
Hans Zimmer
“Encanto” (Walt Disney Pictures)
Germaine Franco
“Parallel Mothers” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Alberto Iglesias
“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix)
Jonny Greenwood
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Original Song
“Down to Joy” from “Belfast” (Focus Features)
Music and Lyric by Van Morrison
“Dos Oruguitas” from “Encanto” (Walt Disney Pictures)***
Music and Lyric by Lin-Manuel Miranda
“Somehow You Do” from “Four Good Days” (Vertical Entertainment)
Music and Lyric by Diane Warren
“Be Alive” from “King Richard” (Warner Bros)
Music and Lyric by DIXSON and Beyoncé Knowles-Carter
“No Time to Die” from “No Time to Die” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Music and Lyric by Billie Eilish and Finneas O’Connell
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Documentary Feature
“Ascension” (MTV Documentary Films)
Jessica Kingdon, Kira Simon-Kennedy and Nathan Truesdell
“Attica” (Showtime)
Traci Curry, Stanley Nelson
“Flee” (Neon)
Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Monica Hellström, Signe Byrge Sørensen and Charlotte De La Gournerie
“Summer of Soul (Or, When The Revolution Could Not Be Televised)” (Hulu/Searchlight Pictures)***
Ahmir “Questlove” Thompson, Joseph Patel, Robert Fyvolent and David Dinerstein
“Writing With Fire” (Music Box Films)
Rintu Thomas and Sushmit Ghosh
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best International Feature
“Drive My Car” (Japan)
dir. Ryusuke Hamaguchi
“Flee” (Denmark)
dir. Jonas Poher Rasmussen
“The Hand of God” (Italy)
dir. Paolo Sorrentino
“Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom” (Bhutan)
dir. Pawo Choyning Dorji
“The Worst Person in the World” (Norway)***
dir. Joachim Trier
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Animated Short
“Affairs of the Art” (The New Yorker)
Joanna Quinn and Les Mills
“Bestia” (Miyu Distribution)
Hugo Covarrubias and Tevo Díaz
“Boxballet” (Melnitsa Animation Studio)
Anton Dyakov
“Robin Robin” (Netflix)***
Dan Ojari and Mikey Please
“The Windshield Wiper” (The Animation Showcase)
Alberto Mielgo and Leo Sanchez
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Documentary Short
“Audible” (Netflix)***
Matt Ogens, Geoff McLean
“Lead Me Home” (Netflix)
Pedro Kos, Jon Shenk
“The Queen of Basketball” (The New York Times)
Ben Proudfoot
“Three Songs for Benazir” (Netflix)
Elizabeth Mirzaei, Gulistan Mirzaei
“When We Were Bullies” (Locomotion Films)
Jay Rosenblatt
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
Best Live Action Short
“Ala Kachuu – Take and Run” (Salaud Morisset)
Maria Brendle, Nadine Lüchinger
“The Dress” (Salaud Morisset)
Tadeusz Lysiak, Maciej Ślesicki
“The Long Goodbye” (WePresent)***
Aniel Karia, Riz Ahmed
“On My Mind” (Benzona Film)
Martin Strange-Hansen
“Please Hold” (Scavenger Entertainment)
K.D. Dávila, Levin Menekse
Check out the full category rankings here>>>
2022 Academy Awards Predictions
- Best Picture
- Best Director
- Best Actor
- Best Actress
- Best Supporting Actor
- Best Supporting Actress
- Best Original Screenplay
- Best Adapted Screenplay
- Best Animated Feature
- Best Production Design
- Best Cinematography
- Best Costume Design
- Best Film Editing
- Best Makeup and Hairstyling
- Best Sound
- Best Visual Effects
- Best Original Score
- Best Original Song
- Best Documentary Feature
- Best International Feature
- Best Animated Short
- Best Documentary Short
- Best Live-Action Short